Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000088 0.000097 0.000107 0.000119 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000087 0.000101 0.000119 0.000139 0.000163 0.000192
2026-02-08 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095 0.000117 0.000144 0.000177 0.000220
2026-02-15 0.000055 0.000070 0.000090 0.000116 0.000149 0.000192 0.000250
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000065 0.000086 0.000116 0.000156 0.000208 0.000282
2026-03-01 0.000044 0.000060 0.000083 0.000115 0.000160 0.000221 0.000312
2026-03-08 0.000040 0.000057 0.000080 0.000115 0.000166 0.000238 0.000348
2026-03-15 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078 0.000115 0.000171 0.000253 0.000382
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000050 0.000075 0.000114 0.000175 0.000266 0.000414
2026-03-29 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000183 0.000285 0.000458
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000187 0.000300 0.000496
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000191 0.000313 0.000531
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000115 0.000195 0.000328 0.000573
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000040 0.000067 0.000115 0.000200 0.000345 0.000618
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000038 0.000064 0.000113 0.000201 0.000356 0.000654
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000112 0.000204 0.000370 0.000698
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000061 0.000113 0.000209 0.000388 0.000749
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000111 0.000211 0.000400 0.000792
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000112 0.000217 0.000420 0.000851
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000222 0.000438 0.000907
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000111 0.000224 0.000452 0.000957
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000113 0.000232 0.000478 0.001034
2026-06-28 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000113 0.000237 0.000496 0.001097